.THERE IS minimal doubt concerning the likely victor of Britain's overall election on July fourth: along with a lead of 20 percent factors in national opinion surveys, the Work Gathering is actually exceptionally likely to gain. However there is uncertainty regarding the measurements of Work's large number in Britain's 650-seat Residence of Commons. Some polling firms have published seat forecasts making use of an unfamiliar approach referred to as multi-level regression and also post-stratification (MRP). What are these surveys-- and just how accurate are they?